What I Have Learned About a Fair Chance

Not everything that is hard is over.

Some marriages go through terrible seasons and come out stronger. Some careers hit a wall and then find their footing. Some friendships break and are repaired. I believe in second chances. I preached them for most of my life.

So the question is not whether we should ever give something a fair chance.

The question is how we know the difference between giving something a fair chance and refusing to let it die.

The difference

Here is the clearest way I have found to say it.

A fair chance is measured by whether change is genuinely possible and actively pursued.

Refusing to let something die begins when the past investment becomes the main reason to keep paying the present cost.

A fair chance looks forward. It asks, "Can this still become something good, and are we both actually working toward that?"

Refusing to let go looks backward. It says, "We have put too much into this to stop now."

The sunk cost

Psychologists have a name for that second voice. They call it the sunk cost effect: the tendency to keep going with something simply because we have already put money, effort, or time into it (Arkes and Blumer, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes).

It shows up everywhere. In the investor who will not sell a failing stock. In the company that keeps funding a project everyone knows is dead. In the person who stays in a relationship because of how many years it has lasted, not because of what it is now.

I know that voice well. I lived with it for a long time.

"I wasted all those years"

I have said it myself many times. I hate it. I've wasted all these years.

When you have been married for more than thirty years, as I was, and you finally let it go, there is a strong temptation to believe those years were wasted. The same is true of a long career. I look back at three decades in ministry and the voice says: would have, could have, should have. I could have taken a different path.

But I have come to believe that voice is wrong.

Nothing was wasted

How can a man and a woman who divorce say they wasted their lives, or even that they made a mistake by marrying, when that marriage produced a family? Financial stability? Emotional growth? A whole life lived?

You would not be the person you are now, emotionally, intellectually, and spiritually, if you had not walked through those years. You would not have the strength to let go if you had not first gone through the difficulties. Some of them felt life-threatening. They brought real distress. But they also brought you to the place where you could finally make a better decision.

We forget how much of life is simply this: we take the path in front of us. The one we can see. The one we understand. The one we believe we can walk.

That is not a mistake. That is living.

You did not waste anything. You lived your life.

When a fair chance runs out

What matters is what you do once you know.

Once you know that a relationship, a career, a job, a habit, even a routine of how and with whom you spend your free time, needs to change, staying is no longer giving it a fair chance.

That is when the harm begins. That is when we start fighting and hurting one another. That is when we bring damage to ourselves and to the people around us, because now we are no longer hoping. We are just refusing.

What makes a fair chance fair

If you are trying to decide whether you are still giving something a fair chance, here are a few honest questions.

  • Have you named the problem plainly, out loud, to the people involved?

  • Are there real, observable changes in behavior, not just promises?

  • Is there a point when you will review where things stand, or are you waiting indefinitely?

  • Are both sides actually participating, or is one person carrying the whole effort?

  • Have you decided what will happen if nothing changes?

A fair chance is not "one more chance" repeated forever.

And one more thing must be said clearly. Where there is coercion, threats, or abuse, a fair chance never requires you to stay in danger.

Letting go makes room

There is research on this too. Studies of people who face goals that can no longer be reached have found that the ability to let go of an unreachable goal, and then commit to a new one, is linked to better well-being (Wrosch and colleagues, Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin). A larger review of 31 samples found that both letting go and re-engaging were tied to a better quality of life, and that re-engaging with something new showed the stronger connection (Barlow, Wrosch, and McGrath, Journal of Personality).

That matches what I have lived. Letting go was only half of it. The other half was what the ending made room for.

What I have learned

I believe in fair chances. I still do.

But a fair chance has a direction. It moves toward change. When the only reason left to stay is everything you have already spent, the chance is over, and the cost is just beginning.

You have not wasted your years. They brought you here. They gave you the eyes to see what needs to change.

Now the question is what you will do with what you see.

The DKP Word 2026
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David Payne